Reuters: Most Read Articles: Gold sags as India ups import duty; investors bolder

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Gold sags as India ups import duty; investors bolder Mar 16th 2012, 11:26 1 of 2. Pre-produced parts of watches are on display at a plant of gold refiner and bar manufacturer Argor-Heraeus SA in the southern Swiss town of Mendrisio, March 1, 2012. Credit: Reuters/Pascal Lauener By Amanda Cooper LONDON | Fri Mar 16, 2012 7:26am EDT LONDON (Reuters) - Gold eased on Friday, caught up in its largest weekly decline in three months, after top consumer India said it would double import duties on bullion and upbeat U.S. data this week fed optimism over the global economy, boosting risk appetite. The bullion market relies heavily on Indian jewelry demand. Last year, the country imported a record 969 tons of metal and in January, raised the import duty by 90 percent. Finance Minister Pranab Mukherjee said the strong growth in imports had played a key role in widening India's current account deficit. Gold has been hampered this week by the rise in the dollar and soaring treasury yields, following data showing the U.S. economy may be on a stronger footing than initially expected, according to figures on consumer spending and regional measures of factory activity, emboldening investors to attach a dwindling chance of the Federal Reserve providing more monetary stimulus. Investors hold a near-record amount of gold now in exchange-traded products and have stepped up their holdings of gold through U.S. futures so far in 2012, meaning the market could be subject to steeper sell-offs by disenchanted players, at least in the near term. Spot gold was quoted down 0.7 percent at $1,646.60 an ounce by 1045 GMT, having lost more than 3 percent so far this week. U.S. April gold futures were down 0.75 percent at $1,646.80 an ounce. "We will have to wait and see how (the rise in the Indian duty) works but from the outlines we are seeing, it will be slightly bearish for gold in the immediate future," MKS Finance head of trading Afshin Nabavi said. "The market still feels a bit top-heavy to me. We're still not seeing a lot of demand despite lower prices, so I think we should have a bit of a further correction on the downside, to $1,600.00 or even just below," he said, adding a decline to those price levels would likely trigger a substantial response from both consumers and investors. Gold imports to India, the world's top importer, are likely to fall significantly in 2012 as the government's decision to double import duty to four percent is seen squeezing local demand, especially for jewelry, industry officials said. SMUGGLING MAY RISE Bombay Bullion Association President Prithviraj Kothari said the increase would prompt a rise in smuggled gold and impact the jewelry sector more than the investment sector. "In purely psychological terms, the news is likely to weigh on the price of gold and in the current market could help ensure that the gold price does not increase significantly in the near future," Commerzbank analysts said in a note. Posing an additional headwind to gold, which thrives in low-rate environments, 10-year U.S. Treasury yields have risen by more than a quarter of a percentage point this week, topping 2.3 percent, in their biggest one-week rise since early July 2011. U.S. inflation data was due at 1230 GMT and was expected to show consumer price pressures picked up in February, most likely due to the rise in the cost of crude oil, although excluding food and energy, they remained contained. In other precious metals, silver was down 0.65 percent on the day at $32.36 an ounce, bringing the gold/silver ratio - the number of ounces of silver needed to buy one ounce of gold - to around 51.0, the highest for two-weeks, reflecting silver's underperformance relative to gold. Platinum fell 0.8 percent to $1,664.24 an ounce, having lost 0.5 percent so far this week, which would make this its third consecutive week of losses. Palladium, which was on course for a weekly decline of 1 percent, was down 1.1 percent on the day at $693.97. (Editing by James Jukwey) Link this Share this Digg this Email Reprints

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